Ibiciro by’ubuhinzi biri hejuru mu myaka yashize byatumye abahinzi ku isi bahinga ibinyampeke nimbuto nyinshi.Icyakora, ingaruka za El Nino, hamwe no kugabanya ibicuruzwa byoherezwa mu mahanga mu bihugu bimwe na bimwe ndetse no gukomeza kwiyongera kw'ibikomoka kuri peteroli, byerekana ko abaguzi bashobora guhura n'ibibazo bitoroshye mu 2024.
Abasesenguzi n'abacuruzi bavuga ko nyuma yo kuzamuka kwinshi ku ngano ku ngano, ibigori na soya ku isi mu myaka mike ishize, 2023 byagaragaye ko byagabanutse cyane kubera ko ibikoresho byo mu nyanja y’umukara byoroha ndetse n’icyizere cyo kuzamuka kw’isi yose.Muri 2024 ariko, ibiciro bikomeje kwibasirwa n’ihungabana ry’ibiciro ndetse n’ifaranga ry’ibiribwa.Ole Howie avuga ko itangwa ry'ingano rizatera imbere mu 2023 kuko uduce tumwe na tumwe twinshi twongera umusaruro, ariko ntabwo tuvuye mu ishyamba.Ibigo by’ikirere byahanuye ko El Nino izamara nibura kugeza muri Mata cyangwa Gicurasi umwaka utaha, ibigori byo muri Berezile byanze bikunze bizagabanuka, kandi Ubushinwa bugura ingano n’ibigori ku isoko mpuzamahanga.
Ikirere cya El Nino, cyazanye ikirere cyumye muri Aziya muri uyu mwaka kandi gishobora kumara kugeza mu gice cya mbere cy’umwaka wa 2024, bivuze ko bamwe mu bohereza ibicuruzwa mu mahanga n’abatumiza mu mahanga bahura n’ingaruka zo gutanga umuceri, ingano, amavuta y’imikindo n’ibindi bicuruzwa by’ubuhinzi.
Abacuruzi n'abayobozi biteze ko umusaruro w'umuceri wo muri Aziya uzagabanuka mu gice cya mbere cy'umwaka wa 2024, kubera ko igihe cyo gutera cyumye no kugabanya ububiko bw'amazi mu bigega bishobora gutuma umusaruro ugabanuka.Gutanga umuceri ku isi byari bimaze gukomera muri uyu mwaka nyuma yuko El Nino igabanije umusaruro kandi bigatuma Ubuhinde, ibicuruzwa byoherezwa mu mahanga ku isi, bigabanya ibicuruzwa byoherezwa mu mahanga.Nubwo izindi ngano zagabanutse, igiciro cy'umuceri cyongeye kuzamuka kugera ku myaka 15 hejuru mu cyumweru gishize, aho ibiciro byavuzwe na bamwe mu bohereza ibicuruzwa muri Aziya bohereje 40-45%.
Mu Buhinde, igihugu cya kabiri mu bihugu bitanga ingano nini ku isi, igihingwa cy’ingano nacyo kibangamiwe no kubura imvura ishobora guhatira Ubuhinde gushaka ibicuruzwa bitumizwa mu mahanga ku nshuro ya mbere mu myaka itandatu kuko ibigega bya Leta by’ingano byagabanutse kugera ku rwego rwo hasi muri imyaka irindwi.
Muri Ositaraliya, igihugu cya kabiri mu bihugu byohereza ingano mu mahanga ku isi, amezi y’ikirere gishyushye yangije umusaruro muri uyu mwaka, bikarangira imyaka itatu itanga umusaruro.Abahinzi bo muri Ositaraliya birashoboka kubiba ingano mu butaka bwumutse muri Mata gutaha.Gutakaza ingano muri Ositaraliya birashobora gutuma abaguzi nk'Ubushinwa na Indoneziya bashaka ingano nyinshi muri Amerika y'Amajyaruguru, Uburayi n'Inyanja Yirabura.Commerzbank yizera ko ikibazo cyo gutanga ingano gishobora kwiyongera mu 2023/24, kubera ko ibicuruzwa biva mu mahanga biva mu bihugu bikomeye bitanga umusaruro bishobora kugabanuka ku buryo bugaragara.
Ahantu heza muri 2024 ni ibigori byinshi, ingano na soya muri Amerika yepfo, nubwo ikirere muri Berezile gikomeje guhangayikisha.Imvura nziza mu bice by’ubuhinzi bikomoka muri Arijantine byafashaga kongera umusaruro wa soya, ibigori n’ingano.Kubera imvura ikomeje kugwa mu byatsi bya Pambas kuva mu mpera z'Ukwakira, 95 ku ijana by'ibigori byatewe hakiri kare na 75 ku ijana by'ibihingwa bya soya byagaragaye ko ari byiza.Muri Berezile, ibihingwa 2024 biri mu rwego rwo kuba hafi y’urwego rwo hejuru, nubwo muri iki gihugu umusaruro wa soya n’ibigori wagabanijwe mu byumweru bishize kubera ikirere cyumye.
Umusaruro wamavuta yintoki kwisi yose ushobora no kugabanuka kubera ibihe byumye byazanywe na El Nino, bishyigikira ibiciro byamavuta aribwa.Kugeza ubu ibiciro bya peteroli yintoki byaragabanutse hejuru ya 6% kugeza ubu mu 2023. Mugihe umusaruro wamavuta yintoki ugenda ugabanuka, icyifuzo cyamavuta yintoki kiriyongera mubikorwa bya biodiesel ninganda zibiribwa.
Dufatiye ku mateka, ingano n’ibinyampeke by’amavuta birakomeye, Isi y’Amajyaruguru irashobora kubona imiterere y’ikirere cya El Nino mu gihe cy’ihinga ku nshuro ya mbere kuva mu 2015, amadolari y’Amerika akwiye gukomeza kugabanuka vuba aha, mu gihe icyifuzo cy’isi gikwiye gusubukura inzira ndende yo gukura.
Igihe cyo kohereza: Werurwe-18-2024