Mu rwego rw’ubukungu bwifashe nabi ku isi ndetse n’ihungabana, inganda z’imiti ku isi mu 2023 zahuye n’ikigereranyo cy’iterambere ry’iterambere muri rusange, kandi icyifuzo cy’ibicuruzwa bikomoka ku miti nticyashoboye kugera ku biteganijwe.
Inganda z’imiti zi Burayi zirahanganye n’igitutu cy’ibiciro n’ibisabwa, kandi umusaruro wacyo uhanganye n’ibibazo by’imiterere. Kuva mu ntangiriro za 2022, umusaruro w’imiti muri EU27 wagaragaje ko ukomeza kugabanuka ukwezi. Nubwo iri gabanuka ryagabanutse mu gice cya kabiri cy’umwaka wa 2023, hamwe n’umusaruro muke wagaragaye mu musaruro, umuhanda wo kugarura inganda z’imiti mu karere ukomeje kuba inzitizi. Muri byo harimo kwiyongera gukenewe gukenewe, ibiciro by’ingufu zo mu karere (ibiciro bya gaze karemano biracyari hafi 50% hejuru y’urwego 2021), hamwe n’igitutu gikomeje ku biciro by’amatungo. Byongeye kandi, nyuma y’ibibazo by’itangwa ry’ibibazo byatewe n’ikibazo cy’inyanja Itukura ku ya 23 Ukuboza umwaka ushize, imiterere ya geopolitiki iriho mu burasirazuba bwo hagati iri mu gihirahiro, ibyo bikaba bishobora kugira ingaruka ku isubiranamo ry’inganda z’imiti ku isi.
Nubwo amasosiyete akora imiti ku isi afite amakenga afite icyizere cyo kuzamuka ku isoko mu 2024, igihe nyacyo cyo gukira ntikiramenyekana. Ibigo bikomoka ku buhinzi bikomeje kwitondera ibarura rusange ry’isi yose, naryo rizaba igitutu kuri 2024.
Isoko ryimiti yo mubuhinde riratera imbere byihuse
Isoko ryimiti yo mubuhinde riratera imbere cyane. Isesengura rya Manufacturing Today ryerekana ko isoko ry’imiti yo mu Buhinde riteganijwe kwiyongera ku gipimo cy’ubwiyongere bw’umwaka wa 2.71% mu myaka itanu iri imbere, biteganijwe ko amafaranga yinjiza yose azagera kuri miliyari 143.3. Muri icyo gihe kandi, biteganijwe ko umubare w’amasosiyete uziyongera ukagera ku 15.730 mu 2024, bikarushaho gushimangira umwanya w’Ubuhinde mu nganda z’imiti ku isi. Hamwe n’ishoramari ry’imbere mu gihugu n’amahanga no kongera ubushobozi bwo guhanga udushya mu nganda, biteganijwe ko inganda z’imiti mu Buhinde zizagira uruhare runini ku rwego rw’isi.
Inganda z’imiti mu Buhinde zerekanye imikorere ikomeye ya macroeconomic. Imyifatire ya guverinoma y'Ubuhinde, ifatanije no gushyiraho uburyo bwo kwemeza mu buryo bwikora, byongereye icyizere abashoramari kandi bitera imbaraga nshya mu iterambere ry’inganda z’imiti. Hagati ya 2000 na 2023, inganda z’imiti mu Buhinde zashishikarije ishoramari ry’amahanga mu mahanga (FDI) ingana na miliyari 21.7 z'amadolari, harimo ishoramari ry’ibikorwa by’ibihangange by’imiti mpuzamahanga nka BASF, Covestro na Aramco yo muri Arabiya Sawudite.
Iterambere ry’ubwiyongere bw’umwaka mu nganda z’ubuhinzi n’ubuhinde rizagera kuri 9% kuva 2025 kugeza 2028
Mu myaka yashize, isoko ry’ubuhinzi n’inganda mu Buhinde byihutishije iterambere, guverinoma y’Ubuhinde ifata inganda z’ubuhinzi nk’imwe mu “nganda 12 zifite amahirwe menshi yo kuyobora isi mu Buhinde”, kandi iteza imbere cyane “Make in India” kugira ngo byorohereze u kugenga inganda zica udukoko, gushimangira iyubakwa ry’ibikorwa remezo, no guharanira guteza imbere Ubuhinde kuba ikigo cy’ubuhinzi n’ibicuruzwa byoherezwa mu mahanga ku isi.
Minisiteri y’ubucuruzi y’Ubuhinde ivuga ko mu 2022 ibyoherezwa mu mahanga by’ubuhinzi bw’ubuhinzi n’inganda byinjije miliyari 5.5 by’amadolari y’Amerika, bikarenga Amerika (miliyari 5.4 $) kugira ngo bibe ku mwanya wa kabiri mu bihugu byohereza ibicuruzwa mu mahanga mu buhinzi-mwimerere.
Byongeye kandi, raporo iheruka gutangwa na Rubix Data Science iteganya ko inganda z’ubuhinzi bw’ubuhinzi n’ubuhinde ziteganijwe kuzamuka cyane mu myaka y’ingengo y’imari 2025 kugeza 2028, hamwe n’ubwiyongere buri mwaka bwa 9%. Iri terambere rizatuma ingano y’isoko ry’inganda kuva kuri miliyari 10.3 $ kugeza kuri miliyari 14.5.
Hagati ya FY2019 na 2023, Ubuhinde bwoherezwa mu mahanga mu buhinzi bw’ubuhinzi bwiyongereye ku gipimo cy’ubwiyongere bw’umwaka wa 14% bugera kuri miliyari 5.4 z'amadolari muri FY2023. Hagati aho, ubwiyongere bw’ibicuruzwa bwaragabanutse cyane, bwiyongera kuri CAGR ya 6 ku ijana gusa mugihe kimwe. Ubwinshi bw’amasoko akomeye yoherezwa mu Buhinde ku buhinzi bw’ubuhinzi bwiyongereye ku buryo bugaragara mu myaka yashize, aho ibihugu bitanu bya mbere (Burezili, Amerika, Vietnam, Ubushinwa n’Ubuyapani) bingana na 65% by’ibyoherezwa mu mahanga, bikaba byiyongereye cyane biva kuri 48% muri FY2019. Ibicuruzwa byoherezwa mu mahanga, igice cy’ingenzi mu buhinzi-bworozi-mwimerere, byiyongereye kuri CAGR ya 23% hagati ya FY2019 na 2023, byongera umugabane wabo mu Buhinde ibicuruzwa biva mu mahanga biva mu mahanga biva kuri 31% bikagera kuri 41%.
Bitewe n'ingaruka nziza zo guhindura ibarura no kongera umusaruro, biteganijwe ko amasosiyete akora imiti yo mu Buhinde azabona ubwiyongere bw’ibicuruzwa byoherezwa mu mahanga. Icyakora, iri terambere rishobora gukomeza kuba munsi y’urwego rw’ubukungu ruteganijwe mu ngengo y’imari ya 2025 nyuma y’ihungabana ryagaragaye mu ngengo y’imari ya 2024. Niba ubukungu bw’Uburayi bukomeje kugenda buhoro cyangwa bidahwitse, icyerekezo cyo kohereza ibicuruzwa mu mahanga mu nganda z’imiti mu Buhinde muri FY2025 byanze bikunze. guhangana n'ibibazo. Gutakaza amahirwe yo guhangana mu nganda z’ubumwe bw’ibihugu by’Uburayi no kwiyongera muri rusange mu masosiyete yo mu Buhinde birashobora guha amahirwe inganda z’imiti yo mu Buhinde gufata umwanya mwiza ku isoko ry’isi.
Igihe cyo kohereza: Jun-14-2024