Nyuma y’intambara y’Uburusiya na Ukraine, izamuka ry’ibiciro by’ibiribwa ku isi ryazanye ingaruka ku kwihaza mu biribwa ku isi, bituma isi irushaho kumenya neza ko ishingiro ry’umutekano w’ibiribwa ari ikibazo cy’amahoro n’iterambere ku isi.
Mu 2023/24, byatewe n’ibiciro mpuzamahanga by’ibicuruzwa bikomoka ku buhinzi, umusaruro rusange w’ibinyampeke na soya ku isi wongeye kugera ku rwego rwo hejuru, bituma ibiciro by’amoko atandukanye y’ibiribwa mu bihugu bishingiye ku isoko nyuma y’urutonde rw’ibinyampeke bishya bigabanuka cyane.Icyakora, kubera ifaranga rikabije ryazanywe no gutanga amafaranga y’ikirenga na Banki nkuru y’Amerika muri Aziya, igiciro cy’umuceri ku isoko mpuzamahanga cyazamutse cyane ku buryo cyageze ku rwego rwo hejuru hagamijwe kugenzura ifaranga ry’imbere mu gihugu no kugenzura ibicuruzwa biva mu mahanga mu Buhinde. .
Igenzura ry’isoko mu Bushinwa, Ubuhinde, n’Uburusiya ryagize ingaruka ku izamuka ry’ibicuruzwa byabo mu 2024, ariko muri rusange, umusaruro w’ibiribwa ku isi mu 2024 uri ku rwego rwo hejuru.
Birakwiye kwitabwaho cyane, igiciro cya zahabu ku isi gikomeje kwiyongera cyane, guta agaciro kwifaranga ryihuse ry’ifaranga ry’isi, ibiciro by’ibiribwa ku isi hari umuvuduko ukabije, iyo umusaruro w’ibicuruzwa buri mwaka n’ibisabwa, ibiciro by’ibiribwa nyamukuru bishobora kuzamuka cyane. na none, ubu rero dukeneye kwitondera cyane umusaruro wibiribwa, kugirango wirinde guhungabana.
Guhinga ibinyampeke ku isi
Muri 2023/24, ubuso bwibinyampeke ku isi buzaba bungana na hegitari miliyoni 75,6, bikiyongeraho 0.38% ugereranije n’umwaka ushize.Umusaruro wose wageze kuri toni miliyari 3.234, naho umusaruro kuri hegitari wari 4.277 kg / ha, wiyongereyeho 2.86% na 3.26% ugereranije n’umwaka ushize.(Umusaruro wose wumuceri wari toni miliyari 2.989, wiyongereyeho 3,63% ugereranije numwaka ushize.)
Muri 2023/24, imiterere yubumenyi bwikirere muri Aziya, Uburayi na Amerika muri rusange ni byiza, kandi ibiciro by’ibiribwa biri hejuru bifasha kuzamura ishyaka ry’abahinzi, bigatuma umusaruro wiyongera hamwe n’akarere k’ibihingwa by’ibiribwa ku isi.
Muri byo, ubuso bwabibwe ingano, ibigori n'umuceri muri 2023/24 byari hegitari miliyoni 601.5, bikamanuka 0.56% ugereranije n'umwaka ushize;Umusaruro wose wageze kuri toni miliyari 2.79, wiyongereyeho 1,71%;Umusaruro kuri buri gace wari 4638 kg / ha, wiyongereyeho 2,28% ugereranije numwaka ushize.
Umusaruro mu Burayi no muri Amerika y'Epfo wongeye gukira nyuma y'amapfa mu 2022;Kugabanuka k'umusaruro w'umuceri muri Aziya y'Amajyepfo n'Amajyepfo-Uburasirazuba byagize ingaruka mbi ku bihugu biri mu nzira y'amajyambere.
Ibiciro byibiribwa ku isi
Muri Gashyantare 2024, igipimo cy’ibiciro by’ibiribwa ku isi * cyari US $ 353 / toni, cyamanutseho 2,70% ukwezi ku kwezi na 13.55% umwaka ushize;Muri Mutarama-Gashyantare 2024, impuzandengo y'ibiribwa rusange ku isi yari $ 357 / toni, igabanuka 12.39% umwaka ushize.
Kuva umwaka mushya w’ibihingwa (guhera muri Gicurasi), ibiciro by’ibiribwa ku isi hose byagabanutse, kandi impuzandengo y’ibiciro byose hamwe kuva muri Gicurasi kugeza muri Gashyantare byari amadorari 370 y’Amerika / toni, bikamanuka 11.97% umwaka ushize.Muri byo, impuzandengo y'ibiciro by'ingano, ibigori n'umuceri muri Gashyantare byari 353 by'amadolari y'Amerika / toni, byagabanutseho 2,19% ukwezi ku kwezi na 12.0% umwaka ushize;Impuzandengo y'agaciro muri Mutarama-Gashyantare 2024 yari $ 357 / toni, igabanuka 12.15% umwaka ushize;Ikigereranyo cy'umwaka mushya w'ibihingwa kuva Gicurasi kugeza Gashyantare cyari $ 365 / toni, cyamanutseho $ 365 / toni umwaka-ku mwaka.
Muri rusange igipimo cy’ibiciro by’ibinyampeke n’ibipimo by’ibiciro by’ibinyampeke bitatu byingenzi byagabanutse cyane mu mwaka mushya w’ibihingwa, byerekana ko muri rusange umusaruro w’umwaka mushya w’ibihingwa wateye imbere.Ibiciro biriho ubu biri munsi yurwego ruheruka kugaragara muri Nyakanga na Kanama 2020, kandi gukomeza kugabanuka bishobora kugira ingaruka mbi ku musaruro w’ibiribwa ku isi mu mwaka mushya.
Gutanga ingano ku isi no kuringaniza ibisabwa
Muri 2023/24, umusaruro w'ingano z'umuceri nyuma y'umuceri wari toni miliyari 2.989, wiyongereyeho 3,63% ugereranije n'umwaka ushize, kandi kwiyongera k'umusaruro byatumye igiciro kigabanuka ku buryo bugaragara.
Biteganijwe ko abatuye isi bose bazaba miliyari 8.026, bikiyongera 1.04% mu mwaka ushize, kandi ubwiyongere bw’ibicuruzwa n’ibitangwa burenze ubwiyongere bw’abatuye isi.Ibinyampeke ku isi byari toni miliyari 2.981, naho ububiko bwanyuma buri mwaka ni toni miliyoni 752, hamwe n’umutekano wa 25.7%.
Ku muturage umuturage yari 372.4 kg, hejuru ya 1,15% ugereranije n'umwaka ushize.Ku bijyanye n’ibikoreshwa, ikoreshwa rya rasi ni 157.8 kg, ibiryo ni 136.8 kg, ibindi bikoreshwa ni 76.9, naho muri rusange ni 371.5 kg.Kilogramu.Kugabanuka kw'ibiciro bizazana kwiyongera kw'ibindi bikoreshwa, bizabuza igiciro gukomeza kugabanuka mu gihe kizaza.
Umusaruro w'ibinyampeke ku isi
Dukurikije imibare rusange y’ibiciro biriho ubu, ubuso bwo kubiba ingano ku isi mu 2024 ni hegitari miliyoni 760, umusaruro kuri hegitari ni 4.393 kg / ha, naho umusaruro w’isi ukaba ari toni miliyoni 3.337.Umusaruro wumuceri wari toni miliyari 3.09, wiyongereyeho 3,40% ugereranije numwaka ushize.
Ukurikije iterambere ry’akarere n’umusaruro kuri buri gace k’ibihugu bikomeye ku isi, mu 2030, ubuso bwo kubiba ingano ku isi buzaba bungana na hegitari miliyoni 760, umusaruro kuri buri gace uzaba 4.748 kg / hegitari, hamwe n’isi yose ku isi umusaruro uzaba toni miliyari 3.664, munsi yigihe cyashize.Iterambere ryihuse mu Bushinwa, Ubuhinde n'Uburayi byatumye igereranya rito ry'umusaruro w'ingano ku isi ukurikije akarere.
Mu 2030, Ubuhinde, Burezili, Amerika n'Ubushinwa bizaba aribyo bitanga umusaruro mwinshi ku isi.Mu 2035, biteganijwe ko ubuso bwo kubiba ingano ku isi buzagera kuri hegitari miliyoni 789, umusaruro wa 5.318 kg / ha, hamwe n’umusaruro rusange wa toni miliyari 4.194.
Ukurikije uko ibintu bimeze ubu, ntihabura ubutaka bwahinzwe ku isi, ariko ubwiyongere bw'umusaruro umwe buragenda buhoro, bisaba kwitabwaho cyane.Gushimangira iterambere ry’ibidukikije, kubaka uburyo bunoze bwo gucunga, no guteza imbere ikoreshwa rya siyansi n’ikoranabuhanga rigezweho mu buhinzi bigena umutekano w’ibiribwa ku isi.
Igihe cyo kohereza: Apr-08-2024