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Isesengura rya spatiotemporal yingaruka ziterwa nudukoko twica udukoko twica udukoko twica udukoko twangiza urugo rwa parasite ya Aedes aegypti na vectors |

Aedes aegypti nubuvuzi bwibanze bwa arbovirus nyinshi (nka dengue, chikungunya, na Zika) zitera indwara zabantu kenshi mukarere gashyuha kandi gashyuha. Imicungire y’ibi byorezo ishingiye ku kugenzura inzitizi, akenshi mu buryo bwo gutera udukoko twica udukoko twibasira imibu y’abagore bakuze. Nyamara, gukwirakwiza ahantu hamwe ninshuro yo gutera kugirango bishoboke gukora neza ntibisobanutse. Muri ubu bushakashatsi, turasobanura ingaruka ziterwa no gutera imbere mu nzu hamwe n’udukoko twangiza udukoko twangiza pyrethroide (ULV) ku mibu ya Aedes aegypti.
Ibisubizo byacu byerekana ko kugabanuka murugo murugo muri Aedes aegypti biterwa ahanini no gutera imiti ibera murugo rumwe, nta zindi ngaruka zatewe no gutera mu ngo zituranye. Gukora neza bigomba gupimwa ukurikije igihe kuva spray iheruka, kuko twasanze nta ngaruka zifatika zituruka kumasoko akurikirana. Dushingiye ku cyitegererezo cyacu, turagereranya ko gutera imiti bigabanukaho 50% hafi iminsi 28 nyuma yo gutera.
Kugabanuka kwinshi kwa Aedes aegypti murugo byagenwe cyane cyane numunsi kuva umunsi uheruka gutera muri urwo rugo, ugaragaza akamaro ko gutera ubwishingizi ahantu hashobora kwibasirwa cyane, hamwe no gutera inshuro biterwa ningaruka zanduza virusi.
Muri ubu bushakashatsi, twifashishije imibare yavuye mu bigeragezo bibiri binini byo mu bwoko bwa pyrethroide yo mu nzu yatewe inshuro nyinshi mu mujyi wa Iquitos, mu karere ka Amazone ya Peruviya kugira ngo tugereranye ingaruka ziterwa n’umuvuduko ukabije wa buri muntu ku giti cye aedes umuturage w’inzitiramubu mu rugo, ukarenga imbibi z’urugo rumwe. Ubushakashatsi bwibanze bwagaragaje ingaruka zo kuvura ultra-low volume ukurikije niba ingo zari imbere cyangwa hanze y’ahantu hanini ho gutabara. Muri ubu bushakashatsi, tugamije gutandukanya ingaruka zokuvurwa kurwego rwiza rwimiryango kugiti cye kugirango dusobanukirwe uruhare rugereranijwe rwo kwivuza murugo ugereranije nubuvuzi bwakorewe mumiryango ituranye. Nyuma yigihe, twagereranije ingaruka ziterwa no gutera inshuro nyinshi ugereranije no gutera vuba aha kuri Aedes aegypti kugabanya amazu y’inkoko kugirango twumve inshuro ziterwa gutera no gusuzuma igabanuka ryimikorere ya spray mugihe. Iri sesengura rishobora gufasha mugutezimbere ingamba zo kugenzura inzitizi no gutanga amakuru kubijyanye na parameterisation yicyitegererezo kugirango tumenye neza.
Ibyavuye mu nyungu bisobanurwa nkumubare rusange wabantu bakuze Aedes aegypti bakusanyirijwe murugo i hamwe nigihe t, bigereranywa murwego rwa Bayesian rwinshi hakoreshejwe ikwirakwizwa rya binomial itari mike kugirango habeho gukabya gukabya, cyane cyane ko umubare munini wabantu bakuru ba Aedes aegypti bakusanyije. Urebye itandukaniro riri hagati yubushakashatsi hamwe nubushakashatsi bwakozwe hagati yubushakashatsi bwombi, moderi zose zabakandida zashyizwe kuri datasets ya S-2013 na L-2014. Icyitegererezo cy'abakandida cyateguwe ukurikije imiterere rusange:
a ihagarariye icyaricyo cyose cyurutonde rwabakandida bahindura gupima ingaruka zo gutera urugo i mugihe t, nkuko byasobanuwe hano hepfo.
b ihagarariye icyaricyo cyose cyurutonde rwabakandida bahindura gupima ingaruka zo gutera umuturanyi hafi yurugo i mugihe t, nkuko byasobanuwe hano hepfo.
Twagerageje b-mibare yoroshye tubara igipimo cyimiryango iri mumuzingo intera yatanzwe nurugo i rwatewe mucyumweru kibanziriza t.
aho h numubare wimiryango iri muri ring r, na r ni intera iri hagati yimpeta n urugo i. Intera iri hagati yimpeta yashizweho hashingiwe kubintu bikurikira:
Icyitegererezo gifitanye isano nigihe kiremereye murugo imirimo yo gutera spray. Umurongo utukura cyane ugereranya icyitegererezo cyiza, hamwe numurongo muremure ugereranya icyitegererezo cyiza nindi mirongo yibyibushye igereranya moderi WAIC ntaho itandukaniye cyane nicyitegererezo cyiza cya WAIC. Imikorere ya BA yangirika ikoreshwa kuminsi yiminsi kuva spray iheruka iri mubintu bitanu byambere bikwiranye neza ukurikije impuzandengo ya WAIC ikurikirana mubigeragezo byombi.
Icyitegererezo cyagereranije ko gutera imiti byagabanutseho 50% nyuma yiminsi 28 nyuma yo gutera, mugihe abaturage ba Aedes aegypti bakize hafi iminsi 50-60 nyuma yo gutera.
Muri ubu bushakashatsi, turasobanura ingaruka ziterwa na ultra-low volume pyrethrin itera kubantu bo murugo Aedes aegypti mubijyanye no gutera ibintu bibaho mugihe gito kandi gitandukanye hafi yurugo. Gusobanukirwa neza nigihe kingana nigihe cyo gutera ingaruka kubaturage ba Aedes aegypti bizafasha kumenya intego nziza zo gukwirakwiza ahantu hamwe ninshuro yo gutera inshuro zisabwa mugihe cyo kugenzura imiti, kandi bizatanga urufatiro rwo kugereranya ingamba zitandukanye zishobora kugenzura inzitizi. amakuru. Ibisubizo byacu byerekana ko mu ngo Aedes aegypti igabanuka ryabaturage biterwa no gutera mu rugo rumwe, nta zindi ngaruka zatewe no gutera ingo mu turere duturanye. Ingaruka zo gutera ku nzu ya Aedes aegypti yo mu nzu biterwa ahanini nigihe kuva gutera kwa nyuma kandi bigenda bigabanuka buhoro buhoro muminsi 60. Nta kugabanuka kwabaturage ba Aedes aegypti byagaragaye kubera ingaruka ziterwa nibikorwa byinshi byo gutera urugo. Muri rusange, abaturage ba Aedes aegypti baragabanutse. Umubare w’imibu ya Aedes aegypti mu rugo uterwa ahanini nigihe cyashize kuva uheruka gutera muri urwo rugo.
Inzitizi ikomeye yubushakashatsi bwacu nuko tutagenzuye imyaka y imibu ikuze Aedes aegypti yakusanyije. Isesengura ryakozwe kuri ubu bushakashatsi [14] ryerekanye ko igabanywa ry’imyaka y’igitsina gore rikuze ryakunze kuba rito (kwiyongera kw’igitsina gore nulliparous) muri zone yo gutera L-2014 ugereranije na zone buffer. Rero, nubwo tutabonye uruhare rwinyongera rwo gusobanura ibikorwa byo gutera ibiti mumiryango ikikije ubwinshi bwa Aedes aegypti murugo runaka, ntidushobora kumenya neza ko nta ngaruka zakarere zigira ku mbaraga z’abaturage ba Aedes aegypti mu turere aho gutera ibintu bikunze kugaragara.
Izindi mbogamizi z’inyigisho zacu zirimo kutabasha kubara ibyatewe na minisiteri y’ubuzima byatewe n’amezi 2 mbere y’iterabwoba rya L-2014, kubera kubura amakuru arambuye ku bijyanye n’aho biherereye. Isesengura ryabanje ryerekanye ko iyi spray yagize ingaruka nkizo mu gice cy’ubushakashatsi, ikora urwego rusange rwibanze rwa Aedes aegypti; mubyukuri, mugihe gutera igeragezwa byatangiye, abaturage ba Aedes aegypti bari batangiye gukira. Byongeye kandi, itandukaniro ryibisubizo hagati yibihe byombi byubushakashatsi rishobora guterwa nuburyo butandukanye mubushakashatsi bwakozwe ndetse no kwanduzwa kwa Aedes aegypti na cypermethrine, S-2013 ikaba yunvikana kurusha L-2014.
Hanyuma, ibisubizo byacu byerekana ko ingaruka zo gutera munda zagarukiye gusa murugo aho gutera gutera, kandi ko gutera ingo mu baturanyi bitagabanije kugabanya abaturage ba Aedes aegypti. Umubu ukuze Aedes aegypti urashobora kuguma hafi yinzu cyangwa imbere, guterana muri m 10 no gukora urugendo rurerure rwa m 106. Rero, gutera agace gakikije inzu ntibishobora kugira ingaruka nini kubaturage ba Aedes aegypti muri iyo nzu. Ibi bishyigikira ibyabonetse mbere ko gutera hanze cyangwa hafi yinzu nta ngaruka. Ariko, nkuko byavuzwe haruguru, hashobora kubaho ingaruka zakarere mukarere ka Aedes aegypti, kandi icyitegererezo cyacu ntabwo cyari kigamije kumenya ingaruka nkizo.
Dufatiye hamwe, ibisubizo byacu byerekana akamaro ko kugera kuri buri rugo rufite ibyago byinshi byo kwandura mugihe cyadutse, kubera ko ingo zitaraterwa vuba zidashobora kwishingikiriza kubikorwa byegeranye cyangwa n’ibikorwa byinshi byashize kugirango bigabanye umubare w’imibu. Kuberako amazu amwe atagerwaho, imbaraga zambere zo gutera buri gihe byaviriyemo gukwirakwizwa igice. Gusura inshuro nyinshi ingo zabuze birashobora kongera ubwishingizi, ariko inyungu ziragabanuka buri cyiciro cyo kugerageza kandi igiciro kuri buri rugo kikiyongera. Gahunda yo kugenzura Vector rero igomba kunozwa hifashishijwe ahantu hagaragara ibyago byo kwandura dengue. Indwara ya Dengue iratandukanye mu mwanya no mu gihe, kandi isuzumabumenyi ry’ahantu hashobora kwibasirwa n’akaga gakomeye, harimo n’imiterere y’abaturage, ibidukikije n’imibereho, bigomba kuyobora ingamba zigamije kurwanya inzitizi. Izindi ngamba zigamije, nko guhuza ibisigazwa byo mu nzu hamwe no gushakisha amakuru, byagize akamaro kera kandi birashobora gutsinda muburyo bumwe. Imibare yimibare irashobora kandi gufasha guhitamo ingamba nziza zo kugenzura uburyo bwo kugabanya kwanduza muri buri gice cyaho bidakenewe ibigeragezo bihenze kandi byoroshye. Ibisubizo byacu bitanga ibisobanuro birambuye byerekana ingaruka zigihe gito nigihe gito ziterwa na ultra-low volume yo mu nzu, bishobora kumenyesha imbaraga zo kwerekana imashini.

 

Igihe cyo kohereza: Mutarama-13-2025